Heuristic fixture difficulty for every Premier League team, blended from opponent strength, recent form and home/away. Each cell shows its confidence and provenance — we never invent fixtures and never present a single static FDR as gospel.
Team
Run
GW+1
GW+2
GW+3
GW+4
GW+5
GW+6
1.3
1.7
1.7
2.0
2.3
2.3
2.7
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.7
3.7
4.0
4.3
4.7
4.7
Best teams to target over the next 6 gameweeks
Ranked by mean confirmed difficulty. Update reflects the latest data snapshot.
1
ARS
Run mean 1.33/5 · 3 green · 3/6 confirmed · Watch: Bukayo Saka
2
AVL
Run mean 1.67/5 · 2 green · 3/6 confirmed · Watch: Ollie Watkins
3
LIV
Run mean 1.67/5 · 2 green · 3/6 confirmed · Watch: Mohamed Salah
4
MCI
Run mean 2.00/5 · 3 green · 3/6 confirmed · Watch: Erling Haaland
5
CHE
Run mean 2.33/5 · 2 green · 3/6 confirmed · Watch: Cole Palmer
How to use the Fixture Ticker
Sort by easiest run to surface teams entering a green patch — ideal transfer-in targets for FPL or draft waiver claims.
Tap or hover any cell to see the rationale, confidence and top players-to-watch. The dot colour signals data provenance.
Signed-in users can save a squad in Setup to highlight your teams in orange and surface captain / transfer calls.
How fixture difficulty is calculated
We blend opponent strength (derived from player tiers and recent form), home/away advantage, and the rated team's own attacking and defensive form. The result is a 1–5 score with separate attacking and defensive splits for Pro users.
Every rating carries a confidence percentage and a provenance label: confirmed (full inputs), partial (some inputs missing) or fallback (heavy reliance on neutral baselines). Fixtures that are not yet in the data snapshot are shown as TBC and never counted in run averages.
Supports FPL decisions
Pair the ticker with the Transfer Planner to time hits around fixture swings, Captain Picker for weekly captain calls, and Wildcard Planner when stacking up on a single team's green run.
Supports Draft decisions
Draft managers can identify free-agent targets on green runs with the Draft Waiver Guide and find direct swaps in the Player Replacement Finder. Difficulty ratings are format-agnostic so the same signals apply.
FAQ
How is fixture difficulty calculated?
Each rating blends opponent strength (from player tiers and recent form), home/away advantage, and the rated team's own attacking and defensive form. We never use a static FDR alone — every cell shows confidence and provenance so you can see how much to trust it.
Why are some fixtures shown as TBC?
We only display fixtures that are confirmed in the active data snapshot. If fewer than six fixtures are confirmed for a team, the remaining cells render as TBC with no difficulty rating.
Is the Fixture Ticker free?
Yes. The full ticker, overall difficulty and two players-to-watch per team are free. Pro unlocks the attacking/defensive split, full reasoning, differential and captaincy picks, and personalised squad impact.
Does it work for Draft fantasy football?
Yes. Difficulty ratings are format-agnostic. Draft managers can pair the ticker with the Player Replacement Finder and Draft Waiver guide to target free-agent additions on good runs.